TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Primeira Liga · Matchday 26Sunday 14 March · 16:00 · Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
Famalicão11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Rio Ave16th place
FAM 58%X 25%RAV 17%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Famalicão lead by 138 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Famalicão -0.4, Rio Ave -1.0.
  • If Famalicão score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Rio Ave score first, they win 47% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.8 – 0.9
Over 2.549%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
158%1.73X25%4.00217%5.85
Double chance
1X83%1.21X242%2.381275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.549%2.04Under 2.551%1.96BTTS yes49%2.05BTTS no51%1.95

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Famalicão · Columns: Rio Ave1-0 probability 12.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Rio Ave – Famalicão25 October 20260-4
Rio Ave – Famalicão1 March 20260-0
Famalicão – Rio Ave28 September 20250-0
Famalicão – Rio Ave10 March 20251-0
Rio Ave – Famalicão4 October 20241-1
Famalicão – Rio Ave16 February 20242-1