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Eredivisie · Matchday 16Sunday 13 December · 19:00 · Johan Cruijff ArenA
Ajax2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Cambuur9th place
AJA 73%X 18%CAM 10%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Ajax lead by 239 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Ajax 0.9, Cambuur -0.1.
  • If Ajax score first, they win 88% of the time
  • If Cambuur score first, they win 30% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.8 – 1.0
Over 2.574%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
173%1.38X18%5.64210%10.46
Double chance
1X90%1.11X227%3.661282%1.22
Goals
Over 2.574%1.35Under 2.526%3.84BTTS yes61%1.63BTTS no39%2.59

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Ajax · Columns: Cambuur2-1 probability 8.7%

Form

Compare →
AjaxDDWWW
CambuurDWDWW

Head to head

Cambuur – Ajax5 February 20230-5
Ajax – Cambuur3 September 20224-0
Cambuur – Ajax11 March 20222-3
Ajax – Cambuur18 September 20219-0