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Eredivisie · Matchday 16Sunday 13 December · 11:15 · Philips Stadion
PSV Eindhoven3rd place
Rinvalo prediction3-1High confidence
Telstar16th place
PSV 80%X 14%TEL 6%

Prediction

Key factors
  • PSV Eindhoven lead by 280 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: PSV Eindhoven 1.1, Telstar -0.7.
  • PSV Eindhoven take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If PSV Eindhoven score first, they win 91% of the time
  • If Telstar score first, they win 22% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals3.3 – 1.0
Over 2.581%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score3-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
180%1.25X14%7.3926%15.67
Double chance
1X94%1.07X220%5.021286%1.16
Goals
Over 2.581%1.23Under 2.519%5.33BTTS yes63%1.60BTTS no37%2.67

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: PSV Eindhoven · Columns: Telstar3-1 probability 8.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Telstar – PSV Eindhoven22 March 20263-1
PSV Eindhoven – Telstar30 August 20250-2