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Eredivisie · Matchday 16Saturday 12 December · 20:00 · MAC³PARK Stadion
PEC Zwolle14th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Excelsior15th place
PEC 41%X 27%EXC 31%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: PEC Zwolle 1.4 points per game, Excelsior 0.2.
  • If PEC Zwolle score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Excelsior score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.4
Over 2.557%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a PEC Zwolle win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.43X27%3.64231%3.19
Double chance
1X69%1.46X259%1.701273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.557%1.74Under 2.543%2.34BTTS yes61%1.65BTTS no39%2.54

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: PEC Zwolle · Columns: Excelsior1-1 probability 12.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

PEC Zwolle – Excelsior12 April 20262-2
Excelsior – PEC Zwolle20 December 20252-1
PEC Zwolle – Excelsior6 April 20242-1
Excelsior – PEC Zwolle22 October 20232-4