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Eredivisie · Matchday 16Saturday 12 December · 17:45 · Abe Lenstra Stadion
Heerenveen7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Go Ahead Eagles10th place
HEE 51%X 25%GAE 24%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Heerenveen lead by 99 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Heerenveen 2.4 points per game, Go Ahead Eagles 1.0.
  • Heerenveen take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Heerenveen score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Go Ahead Eagles score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.3
Over 2.561%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Heerenveen win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.97X25%3.92224%4.20
Double chance
1X76%1.31X249%2.031275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.561%1.64Under 2.539%2.56BTTS yes62%1.62BTTS no38%2.60

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Heerenveen · Columns: Go Ahead Eagles1-1 probability 10.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Go Ahead Eagles – Heerenveen11 February 20261-3
Heerenveen – Go Ahead Eagles30 August 20252-2
Go Ahead Eagles – Heerenveen14 May 20251-0
Heerenveen – Go Ahead Eagles10 November 20241-0
Heerenveen – Go Ahead Eagles17 February 20240-2
Go Ahead Eagles – Heerenveen2 September 20233-2