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Eredivisie · Matchday 16Sunday 13 December · 13:30 · Koning Willem II Stadion
Willem II18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
ADO Den Haag17th place
WIL 31%X 26%ADO 43%

Prediction

Key factors
  • ADO Den Haag lead by 111 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: ADO Den Haag 1.0 points per game, Willem II 0.0.
  • If Willem II score first, they win 58% of the time
  • If ADO Den Haag score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.7
Over 2.560%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a ADO Den Haag win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.26X26%3.86243%2.31
Double chance
1X57%1.76X269%1.441274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.560%1.67Under 2.540%2.50BTTS yes62%1.60BTTS no38%2.66

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Willem II · Columns: ADO Den Haag1-1 probability 11.5%

Form

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