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Eredivisie · Matchday 16Sunday 13 December · 13:30 · Euroborg
Groningen8th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
Feyenoord1st place
GRO 20%X 22%FEY 58%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Feyenoord lead by 159 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Feyenoord 1.6, Groningen -0.2.
  • Feyenoord take 2.4 points per game away.
  • If Groningen score first, they win 45% of the time
  • If Feyenoord score first, they win 79% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.2 – 2.2
Over 2.566%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
120%5.06X22%4.52258%1.72
Double chance
1X42%2.39X280%1.251278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.566%1.51Under 2.534%2.97BTTS yes63%1.58BTTS no37%2.73

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Groningen · Columns: Feyenoord1-2 probability 9.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Feyenoord – Groningen25 April 20263-1
Groningen – Feyenoord28 September 20250-1
Feyenoord – Groningen2 April 20254-1
Groningen – Feyenoord14 September 20242-2
Feyenoord – Groningen4 March 20231-0
Groningen – Feyenoord15 January 20230-3