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La Liga · Matchday 15Sunday 6 December · 16:00 · Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alavés10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Espanyol14th place
ALA 50%X 27%ESP 22%

Prediction

  • If Alavés score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Espanyol score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.5 – 0.9
Over 2.544%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Alavés win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
150%1.98X27%3.66222%4.48
Double chance
1X78%1.29X250%2.021273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.544%2.27Under 2.556%1.78BTTS yes48%2.09BTTS no52%1.92

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Alavés · Columns: Espanyol1-1 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →
AlavésDLLDL

Head to head

Espanyol – Alavés30 January 20261-2
Alavés – Espanyol2 November 20252-1
Alavés – Espanyol22 February 20250-1
Espanyol – Alavés14 September 20243-2
Alavés – Espanyol11 May 20222-1
Espanyol – Alavés22 September 20211-0