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La Liga · Matchday 15Sunday 6 December · 16:00 · Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Levante18th place
RAY 54%X 25%LEV 21%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Rayo Vallecano take 2.1 points per game at home.
  • If Rayo Vallecano score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Levante score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.0
Over 2.552%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Rayo Vallecano win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
154%1.84X25%4.01221%4.83
Double chance
1X79%1.26X246%2.191275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.552%1.91Under 2.548%2.10BTTS yes53%1.87BTTS no47%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rayo Vallecano · Columns: Levante1-1 probability 11.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Rayo Vallecano – Levante16 March 20261-1
Levante – Rayo Vallecano19 October 20250-3
Rayo Vallecano – Levante20 May 20222-4
Levante – Rayo Vallecano11 September 20211-1