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La Liga · Matchday 15Sunday 6 December · 16:00 · Spotify Camp Nou
Barcelona1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Celta Vigo9th place
BAR 81%X 13%CEL 6%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Barcelona lead by 291 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Barcelona 2.2, Celta Vigo -0.3.
  • Barcelona take 2.7 points per game at home.
  • If Barcelona score first, they win 93% of the time
  • If Celta Vigo score first, they win 23% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals3.0 – 0.8
Over 2.572%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
181%1.23X13%7.6326%17.99
Double chance
1X94%1.06X219%5.361287%1.15
Goals
Over 2.572%1.38Under 2.528%3.60BTTS yes51%1.97BTTS no49%2.03

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
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5
Rows: Barcelona · Columns: Celta Vigo2-0 probability 10.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Barcelona – Celta Vigo22 April 20261-0
Celta Vigo – Barcelona9 November 20252-4
Barcelona – Celta Vigo19 April 20254-3
Celta Vigo – Barcelona23 November 20242-2
Celta Vigo – Barcelona17 February 20241-2
Barcelona – Celta Vigo23 September 20233-2