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La Liga · Matchday 15Sunday 6 December · 16:00 · Campos de Sport de El Sardinero
Racing Santander16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Deportivo8th place
RAC 33%X 26%DEP 41%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Deportivo 0.2, Racing Santander -1.1.
  • If Racing Santander score first, they win 60% of the time
  • If Deportivo score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.7
Over 2.562%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Deportivo win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%3.04X26%3.79241%2.45
Double chance
1X59%1.69X267%1.491274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.562%1.62Under 2.538%2.61BTTS yes64%1.56BTTS no36%2.78

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Racing Santander · Columns: Deportivo1-1 probability 11.2%

Form

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