SEV 61%X 24%MAL 15%
Prediction
Key factors
- Sevilla lead by 92 rating points.
- Sevilla take 2.0 points per game at home.
- If Sevilla score first, they win 83% of the time
- If Málaga score first, they win 44% of the time
- Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.9 – 0.9
Over 2.552%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
161%1.64X24%4.23215%6.46
Double chance
1X85%1.18X239%2.561276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.552%1.91Under 2.548%2.10BTTS yes50%2.00BTTS no50%2.00
Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.
Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sevilla · Columns: Málaga2-0 probability 11.4%
Sevilla6th place
Málaga20th place