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La Liga · Matchday 15Sunday 6 December · 16:00 · Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Atlético Madrid2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Real Betis4th place
ATM 58%X 24%BET 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Atlético Madrid 3.0 points per game, Real Betis 1.6.
  • Atlético Madrid lead by 72 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Atlético Madrid 0.5, Real Betis -0.2.
  • If Atlético Madrid score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 46% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.0
Over 2.555%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-0 is the likeliest score within a Atlético Madrid win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
158%1.71X24%4.21218%5.59
Double chance
1X82%1.22X242%2.401276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.555%1.83Under 2.545%2.20BTTS yes53%1.87BTTS no47%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Atlético Madrid · Columns: Real Betis1-1 probability 11.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Atlético Madrid – Real Betis8 February 20260-1
Real Betis – Atlético Madrid27 October 20250-2
Atlético Madrid – Real Betis18 May 20254-1
Real Betis – Atlético Madrid27 October 20241-0
Atlético Madrid – Real Betis3 March 20242-1
Real Betis – Atlético Madrid20 August 20230-0