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La Liga · Matchday 15Sunday 6 December · 16:00 · Estadio de la Cerámica
Villarreal9th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Real Sociedad5th place
VIL 59%X 23%RSO 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Villarreal 1.1, Real Sociedad -0.3.
  • If Villarreal score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Real Sociedad score first, they win 44% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.2 – 1.2
Over 2.565%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
159%1.71X23%4.30218%5.50
Double chance
1X82%1.22X241%2.411277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.565%1.54Under 2.535%2.86BTTS yes62%1.61BTTS no38%2.63

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Villarreal · Columns: Real Sociedad2-1 probability 9.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Villarreal – Real Sociedad20 March 20263-1
Real Sociedad – Villarreal30 November 20252-3
Villarreal – Real Sociedad20 April 20252-2
Real Sociedad – Villarreal13 January 20251-0
Real Sociedad – Villarreal23 February 20241-3
Villarreal – Real Sociedad9 December 20230-3