TR
Picks
La Liga · Matchday 15Sunday 6 December · 16:00 · Estadio Coliseum
Getafe12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Valencia19th place
GET 38%X 32%VAL 30%

Prediction

  • If Getafe score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Valencia score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 15%
Expected goals1.0 – 0.9
Over 2.531%
Both teams score40%
Likeliest score0-0

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Getafe win. The single likeliest score is 0-0, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.67X32%3.10230%3.31
Double chance
1X70%1.43X263%1.601268%1.48
Goals
Over 2.531%3.22Under 2.569%1.45BTTS yes40%2.52BTTS no60%1.66

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Getafe · Columns: Valencia0-0 probability 15.1%
GetafeWLDLW

Head to head

Getafe – Valencia18 January 20260-1
Valencia – Getafe29 August 20253-0
Valencia – Getafe10 May 20253-0
Getafe – Valencia27 October 20241-1
Valencia – Getafe9 March 20241-0
Getafe – Valencia8 December 20231-0