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La Liga · Matchday 35Sunday 9 May · 16:00 · Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alavés10th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Levante18th place
ALA 50%X 26%LEV 24%

Prediction

  • If Alavés score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Levante score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.1
Over 2.553%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Alavés win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
150%2.01X26%3.79224%4.21
Double chance
1X76%1.31X250%1.991274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.553%1.90Under 2.547%2.11BTTS yes55%1.81BTTS no45%2.23

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Alavés · Columns: Levante1-1 probability 12.3%

Form

Compare →
AlavésDLLDL
LevanteDDWLL

Head to head

Levante – Alavés27 February 20262-0
Alavés – Levante16 August 20252-1
Levante – Alavés15 May 20223-1
Alavés – Levante6 November 20212-1