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La Liga · Matchday 35Sunday 9 May · 16:00 · Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Deportivo13th place
RAY 53%X 26%DEP 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Rayo Vallecano 1.6 points per game, Deportivo 0.4.
  • Rayo Vallecano take 2.1 points per game at home.
  • If Rayo Vallecano score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Deportivo score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.545%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Rayo Vallecano win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.87X26%3.83220%4.91
Double chance
1X80%1.26X247%2.151274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.545%2.20Under 2.555%1.83BTTS yes48%2.09BTTS no52%1.92

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rayo Vallecano · Columns: Deportivo1-1 probability 12.6%

Form

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