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La Liga · Matchday 35Sunday 9 May · 16:00 · Estadio de la Cerámica
Villarreal9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Celta Vigo10th place
VIL 56%X 25%CEL 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Villarreal 1.1, Celta Vigo -0.3.
  • Villarreal lead by 64 rating points.
  • If Villarreal score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Celta Vigo score first, they win 48% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.8 – 0.9
Over 2.552%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Villarreal win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.78X25%3.97219%5.37
Double chance
1X81%1.23X244%2.281275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.552%1.93Under 2.548%2.07BTTS yes52%1.93BTTS no48%2.08

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Villarreal · Columns: Celta Vigo1-1 probability 11.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Villarreal – Celta Vigo26 April 20262-1
Celta Vigo – Villarreal31 August 20251-1
Celta Vigo – Villarreal23 April 20253-0
Villarreal – Celta Vigo26 August 20244-3
Celta Vigo – Villarreal5 May 20243-2
Villarreal – Celta Vigo20 December 20233-2