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La Liga · Matchday 35Sunday 9 May · 16:00 · Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna15th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Real Sociedad5th place
OSA 40%X 27%RSO 33%

Prediction

  • If Osasuna score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Real Sociedad score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.4
Over 2.555%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Osasuna win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.49X27%3.68233%3.06
Double chance
1X67%1.49X260%1.671273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.555%1.81Under 2.545%2.24BTTS yes59%1.69BTTS no41%2.45

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Osasuna · Columns: Real Sociedad1-1 probability 12.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Real Sociedad – Osasuna15 March 20263-1
Osasuna – Real Sociedad22 November 20251-3
Osasuna – Real Sociedad2 February 20252-1
Real Sociedad – Osasuna27 October 20240-2
Real Sociedad – Osasuna10 February 20240-1
Osasuna – Real Sociedad2 December 20231-1