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La Liga · Matchday 35Sunday 9 May · 16:00 · Campos de Sport de El Sardinero
Racing Santander16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Sevilla6th place
RAC 31%X 26%SEV 42%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sevilla lead by 67 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Sevilla -0.4, Racing Santander -1.1.
  • If Racing Santander score first, they win 58% of the time
  • If Sevilla score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.8
Over 2.564%
Both teams score66%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Sevilla win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.19X26%3.79242%2.36
Double chance
1X58%1.73X269%1.461274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.564%1.55Under 2.536%2.81BTTS yes66%1.52BTTS no34%2.93

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Racing Santander · Columns: Sevilla1-1 probability 10.6%

Form

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