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La Liga · Matchday 35Sunday 9 May · 16:00 · Estadio de La Cartuja
Real Betis4th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Espanyol14th place
BET 60%X 24%ESP 17%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Real Betis lead by 127 rating points.
  • Real Betis take 2.5 points per game at home.
  • Last 5 games: Real Betis 1.6 points per game, Espanyol 0.8.
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Espanyol score first, they win 46% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.8 – 0.9
Over 2.550%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
160%1.68X24%4.19217%6.05
Double chance
1X83%1.20X240%2.481276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.550%1.98Under 2.550%2.02BTTS yes49%2.03BTTS no51%1.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Betis · Columns: Espanyol1-0 probability 11.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Real Betis – Espanyol4 April 20260-0
Espanyol – Real Betis5 October 20251-2
Espanyol – Real Betis4 May 20251-2
Real Betis – Espanyol29 September 20241-0
Real Betis – Espanyol15 April 20233-1
Espanyol – Real Betis21 January 20231-0