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La Liga · Matchday 25Sunday 21 February · 16:00 · Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alavés10th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Racing Santander16th place
ALA 64%X 21%RAC 15%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Alavés lead by 60 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Alavés -0.3, Racing Santander -1.1.
  • If Alavés score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Racing Santander score first, they win 39% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.3 – 1.1
Over 2.567%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.57X21%4.70215%6.63
Double chance
1X85%1.18X236%2.751279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.567%1.50Under 2.533%2.99BTTS yes61%1.65BTTS no39%2.55

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Alavés · Columns: Racing Santander2-1 probability 9.7%

Form

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Head to head

Racing Santander – Alavés12 September 20262-1