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La Liga · Matchday 25Sunday 21 February · 16:00 · Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Sevilla6th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Real Madrid3rd place
SEV 15%X 22%RMA 63%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Real Madrid lead by 243 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Real Madrid 1.4, Sevilla -0.4.
  • Last 5 games: Real Madrid 2.4 points per game, Sevilla 0.8.
  • If Sevilla score first, they win 42% of the time
  • If Real Madrid score first, they win 83% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals0.9 – 2.1
Over 2.558%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
115%6.52X22%4.64263%1.58
Double chance
1X37%2.71X285%1.181278%1.27
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.39BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.17

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sevilla · Columns: Real Madrid0-2 probability 10.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Real Madrid – Sevilla18 October 20264-1
Sevilla – Real Madrid17 May 20260-1
Real Madrid – Sevilla20 December 20252-0
Sevilla – Real Madrid18 May 20250-2
Real Madrid – Sevilla22 December 20244-2
Real Madrid – Sevilla25 February 20241-0