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La Liga · Matchday 25Sunday 21 February · 16:00 · Estadio La Rosaleda
Málaga20th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
Real Betis4th place
MAL 20%X 24%BET 55%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Real Betis lead by 199 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Real Betis 1.6 points per game, Málaga 0.4.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Real Betis -0.2, Málaga -0.8.
  • If Málaga score first, they win 49% of the time
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 79% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.8
Over 2.552%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Real Betis win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
120%4.88X24%4.14255%1.81
Double chance
1X45%2.24X280%1.261276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.552%1.91Under 2.548%2.09BTTS yes53%1.89BTTS no47%2.13

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Málaga · Columns: Real Betis1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

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Head to head

Real Betis – Málaga31 October 20262-1