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La Liga · Matchday 25Sunday 21 February · 16:00 · Spotify Camp Nou
Barcelona1st place
Rinvalo prediction3-0High confidence
Levante18th place
BAR 85%X 11%LEV 4%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Barcelona lead by 319 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Barcelona 2.2, Levante -0.5.
  • Last 5 games: Barcelona 2.4 points per game, Levante 1.0.
  • If Barcelona score first, they win 94% of the time
  • If Levante score first, they win 17% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 1%
Expected goals3.7 – 0.9
Over 2.584%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score3-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
185%1.17X11%9.5124%23.58
Double chance
1X96%1.04X215%6.781289%1.12
Goals
Over 2.584%1.19Under 2.516%6.21BTTS yes59%1.68BTTS no41%2.47

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Barcelona · Columns: Levante3-0 probability 8.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Levante – Barcelona13 September 20262-4
Barcelona – Levante22 February 20263-0
Levante – Barcelona23 August 20252-3
Levante – Barcelona10 April 20222-3
Barcelona – Levante26 September 20213-0