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La Liga · Matchday 25Sunday 21 February · 16:00 · Estadio de la Cerámica
Villarreal9th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Valencia19th place
VIL 61%X 23%VAL 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Villarreal 1.1, Valencia -0.5.
  • Villarreal lead by 84 rating points.
  • If Villarreal score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Valencia score first, they win 44% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.9 – 0.9
Over 2.553%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
161%1.64X23%4.27216%6.39
Double chance
1X84%1.19X239%2.561277%1.31
Goals
Over 2.553%1.88Under 2.547%2.14BTTS yes51%1.97BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Villarreal · Columns: Valencia2-0 probability 11.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Valencia – Villarreal24 October 20261-2
Villarreal – Valencia22 February 20262-1
Valencia – Villarreal25 October 20250-2
Villarreal – Valencia15 February 20251-1
Valencia – Villarreal31 August 20241-1
Villarreal – Valencia17 March 20241-0