TR
Picks
La Liga · Matchday 25Sunday 21 February · 16:00 · RCDE Stadium
Espanyol14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Osasuna15th place
ESP 42%X 29%OSA 29%

Prediction

  • If Espanyol score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Osasuna score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.544%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Espanyol win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.37X29%3.49229%3.42
Double chance
1X71%1.41X258%1.731271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.544%2.25Under 2.556%1.80BTTS yes50%1.99BTTS no50%2.01

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Espanyol · Columns: Osasuna1-1 probability 13.7%
OsasunaDLWLL

Head to head

Osasuna – Espanyol12 September 20260-2
Osasuna – Espanyol17 May 20261-2
Espanyol – Osasuna31 August 20251-0
Osasuna – Espanyol18 May 20252-0
Espanyol – Osasuna14 December 20240-0
Espanyol – Osasuna4 February 20231-1