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La Liga · Matchday 25Sunday 21 February · 16:00 · Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Getafe12th place
RAY 52%X 28%GET 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Rayo Vallecano take 2.1 points per game at home.
  • If Rayo Vallecano score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Getafe score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 13%
Expected goals1.4 – 0.7
Over 2.536%
Both teams score40%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.92X28%3.59220%4.98
Double chance
1X80%1.25X248%2.091272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.536%2.77Under 2.564%1.56BTTS yes40%2.48BTTS no60%1.68

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rayo Vallecano · Columns: Getafe1-0 probability 15.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Getafe – Rayo Vallecano19 October 20261-1
Getafe – Rayo Vallecano3 May 20260-2
Rayo Vallecano – Getafe2 January 20261-1
Rayo Vallecano – Getafe2 May 20251-0
Getafe – Rayo Vallecano24 August 20240-0
Rayo Vallecano – Getafe13 April 20240-0