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La Liga · Matchday 28Sunday 14 March · 16:00 · Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alavés11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Sevilla6th place
ALA 45%X 28%SEV 26%

Prediction

  • If Alavés score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Sevilla score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.549%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Alavés win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.20X28%3.55226%3.80
Double chance
1X74%1.36X255%1.831272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.549%2.05Under 2.551%1.95BTTS yes53%1.88BTTS no47%2.13

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Alavés · Columns: Sevilla1-1 probability 13.0%

Form

Compare →
AlavésDLLDL
SevillaLDLWL

Head to head

Sevilla – Alavés14 February 20261-1
Alavés – Sevilla20 September 20251-2
Sevilla – Alavés20 April 20251-1
Alavés – Sevilla20 September 20242-1
Sevilla – Alavés12 January 20242-3
Alavés – Sevilla21 August 20234-3