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La Liga · Matchday 28Sunday 14 March · 16:00 · Estadio Coliseum
Getafe13th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Real Sociedad5th place
GET 35%X 30%RSO 36%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Real Sociedad 2.4 points per game, Getafe 1.4.
  • If Getafe score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Real Sociedad score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.2
Over 2.541%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Real Sociedad win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.89X30%3.34236%2.81
Double chance
1X64%1.55X265%1.531270%1.43
Goals
Over 2.541%2.46Under 2.559%1.69BTTS yes48%2.09BTTS no52%1.92

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Getafe · Columns: Real Sociedad1-1 probability 14.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Real Sociedad – Getafe22 April 20260-1
Getafe – Real Sociedad9 January 20261-2
Real Sociedad – Getafe26 January 20250-3
Getafe – Real Sociedad1 September 20240-0
Getafe – Real Sociedad21 April 20241-1
Real Sociedad – Getafe24 September 20234-3