TR
Picks
La Liga · Matchday 28Sunday 14 March · 16:00 · Estadio de La Cartuja
Real Betis4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Levante18th place
BET 60%X 23%LEV 17%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Real Betis lead by 117 rating points.
  • Real Betis take 2.5 points per game at home.
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Levante score first, they win 44% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.1 – 1.0
Over 2.560%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Real Betis win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
160%1.66X23%4.37217%5.89
Double chance
1X83%1.20X240%2.511277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.560%1.66Under 2.540%2.50BTTS yes57%1.75BTTS no43%2.33

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Betis · Columns: Levante1-1 probability 10.3%

Head to head

Levante – Real Betis29 August 20265-2
Real Betis – Levante23 May 20262-1
Levante – Real Betis14 September 20252-2
Levante – Real Betis13 February 20222-4
Real Betis – Levante28 November 20213-1