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La Liga · Matchday 28Sunday 14 March · 16:00 · Spotify Camp Nou
Barcelona1st place
Rinvalo prediction3-0High confidence
Deportivo13th place
BAR 84%X 11%DEP 4%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Barcelona lead by 330 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Barcelona 2.2, Deportivo -0.0.
  • Last 5 games: Barcelona 2.4 points per game, Deportivo 0.4.
  • If Barcelona score first, they win 94% of the time
  • If Deportivo score first, they win 19% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals3.3 – 0.8
Over 2.577%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score3-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
184%1.19X11%8.8524%22.47
Double chance
1X96%1.05X216%6.351289%1.13
Goals
Over 2.577%1.30Under 2.523%4.34BTTS yes52%1.92BTTS no48%2.08

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
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Rows: Barcelona · Columns: Deportivo3-0 probability 10.2%

Form

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