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Primeira Liga · Matchday 29Sunday 11 April · 16:00 · Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
Alverca10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Académico de Viseu6th place
ALV 46%X 27%ACV 27%

Prediction

  • If Alverca score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Académico de Viseu score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.546%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Alverca win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
146%2.18X27%3.64227%3.76
Double chance
1X73%1.36X254%1.851273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.546%2.18Under 2.554%1.85BTTS yes51%1.97BTTS no49%2.03

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Alverca · Columns: Académico de Viseu1-1 probability 13.3%

Form

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