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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Primeira Liga · Matchday 29Sunday 11 April · 16:00 · Estádio Municipal de Braga
Braga7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Casa Pia17th place
SCB 67%X 21%CPA 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Braga lead by 177 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Braga 0.6, Casa Pia -1.0.
  • If Braga score first, they win 87% of the time
  • If Casa Pia score first, they win 39% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.7
Over 2.551%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
167%1.49X21%4.70212%8.63
Double chance
1X88%1.13X233%3.041279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.551%1.96Under 2.549%2.04BTTS yes45%2.24BTTS no55%1.81

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Braga · Columns: Casa Pia2-0 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →
BragaWDLLW

Head to head

Casa Pia – Braga23 April 20260-1
Braga – Casa Pia26 October 20254-0
Casa Pia – Braga10 May 20252-1
Braga – Casa Pia29 December 20241-2
Braga – Casa Pia5 May 20244-3
Casa Pia – Braga30 December 20231-3