TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Ligue 1 · Matchday 33Saturday 22 May · 16:00 · Stade Raymond Kopa
Angers15th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Brest14th place
ANG 30%X 27%BRE 43%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Brest lead by 79 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Brest 0.8, Angers -0.4.
  • If Angers score first, they win 60% of the time
  • If Brest score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.5
Over 2.549%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Brest win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
130%3.37X27%3.64243%2.33
Double chance
1X57%1.75X270%1.421273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.549%2.06Under 2.551%1.95BTTS yes54%1.87BTTS no46%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Angers · Columns: Brest1-1 probability 13.2%

Form

Compare →
AngersWLLDL
BrestLLWDL

Head to head

Brest – Angers10 October 20265-1
Brest – Angers17 May 20261-1
Angers – Brest28 September 20250-2
Brest – Angers9 March 20252-0
Angers – Brest5 January 20252-0
Brest – Angers29 January 20234-0