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Ligue 1 · Matchday 33Saturday 22 May · 16:00 · Stade Marie-Marvingt
Le Mans17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Strasbourg13th place
LMS 28%X 25%STR 46%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Strasbourg lead by 125 rating points.
  • If Le Mans score first, they win 55% of the time
  • If Strasbourg score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.8
Over 2.563%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Strasbourg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
128%3.54X25%3.95246%2.15
Double chance
1X54%1.87X272%1.391275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.563%1.60Under 2.537%2.67BTTS yes64%1.56BTTS no36%2.77

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Le Mans · Columns: Strasbourg1-1 probability 10.9%

Form

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