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Ligue 1 · Matchday 33Saturday 22 May · 16:00 · Stade Océane
Le Havre18th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Lille2nd place
HAC 25%X 27%LIL 48%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lille lead by 208 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Lille 1.6 points per game, Le Havre 0.0.
  • Lille take 2.4 points per game away.
  • If Le Havre score first, they win 57% of the time
  • If Lille score first, they win 76% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.5
Over 2.544%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Lille win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
125%4.00X27%3.72248%2.08
Double chance
1X52%1.93X275%1.331273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.544%2.26Under 2.556%1.79BTTS yes49%2.05BTTS no51%1.96

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Le Havre · Columns: Lille1-1 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →
LilleLWDDW

Head to head

Lille – Le Havre10 October 20261-0
Lille – Le Havre3 May 20261-1
Le Havre – Lille30 November 20250-1
Lille – Le Havre8 February 20251-2
Le Havre – Lille28 September 20240-3
Lille – Le Havre17 February 20243-0