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Ligue 1 · Matchday 33Saturday 22 May · 16:00 · Stade du Moustoir
Lorient10th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Lyon3rd place
LOR 33%X 29%OL 38%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lyon lead by 89 rating points.
  • If Lorient score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Lyon score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.545%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Lyon win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%3.00X29%3.44238%2.66
Double chance
1X62%1.60X267%1.501271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.545%2.24Under 2.555%1.81BTTS yes51%1.96BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lorient · Columns: Lyon1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

Compare →
LorientDLWWD
LyonWLWLW

Head to head

Lyon – Lorient12 April 20262-0
Lorient – Lyon7 December 20251-0
Lorient – Lyon9 March 20240-2
Lyon – Lorient8 October 20233-3
Lyon – Lorient5 March 20230-0
Lorient – Lyon7 September 20223-1