TR
Picks
Ligue 1 · Matchday 18Saturday 30 January · 16:00 · Stade Raymond Kopa
Angers15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Le Havre18th place
ANG 37%X 29%HAC 34%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Angers 0.8 points per game, Le Havre 0.0.
  • If Angers score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Le Havre score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.2
Over 2.543%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Angers win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.67X29%3.50234%2.94
Double chance
1X66%1.51X263%1.601271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.543%2.32Under 2.557%1.76BTTS yes50%2.01BTTS no50%1.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Angers · Columns: Le Havre1-1 probability 14.0%
AngersWLLDL

Head to head

Le Havre – Angers12 September 20260-0
Angers – Le Havre18 April 20261-1
Le Havre – Angers4 January 20262-1
Angers – Le Havre2 February 20251-1
Le Havre – Angers1 December 20240-1