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Ligue 1 · Matchday 18Saturday 30 January · 16:00 · Stade Jean-Bouin
Paris FC4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Auxerre14th place
PFC 63%X 22%AUX 15%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Paris FC lead by 107 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Paris FC 1.0, Auxerre -0.5.
  • Paris FC take 2.5 points per game at home.
  • If Paris FC score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Auxerre score first, they win 42% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.9
Over 2.555%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
163%1.59X22%4.47215%6.88
Double chance
1X85%1.17X237%2.711278%1.29
Goals
Over 2.555%1.82Under 2.545%2.21BTTS yes51%1.96BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
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5
Rows: Paris FC · Columns: Auxerre2-0 probability 11.4%

Form

Compare →
AuxerreWLWDL

Head to head

Auxerre – Paris FC8 February 20260-0
Paris FC – Auxerre29 November 20251-1