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Ligue 1 · Matchday 18Saturday 30 January · 16:00 · Stadium de Toulouse
Toulouse12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Lens9th place
TFC 36%X 28%RCL 37%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lens lead by 93 rating points.
  • If Toulouse score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Lens score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.4
Over 2.551%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Lens win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.79X28%3.63237%2.73
Double chance
1X63%1.58X264%1.561272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.551%1.96Under 2.549%2.05BTTS yes56%1.78BTTS no44%2.28

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Toulouse · Columns: Lens1-1 probability 13.0%

Form

Compare →
LensLWWWL

Head to head

Lens – Toulouse17 April 20263-2
Toulouse – Lens2 January 20260-3
Toulouse – Lens10 May 20251-1
Lens – Toulouse5 January 20250-1
Toulouse – Lens28 January 20240-2
Lens – Toulouse24 September 20232-1