TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Ligue 1 · Matchday 18Saturday 30 January · 16:00 · Roazhon Park
Rennes5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Lorient11th place
REN 51%X 26%LOR 23%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Rennes lead by 75 rating points.
  • Rennes take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Rennes score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Lorient score first, they win 51% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.1
Over 2.556%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Rennes win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.95X26%3.85223%4.41
Double chance
1X77%1.29X249%2.061274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.556%1.78Under 2.544%2.28BTTS yes57%1.74BTTS no43%2.35

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rennes · Columns: Lorient1-1 probability 11.6%

Form

Compare →
RennesLWLWL
LorientLWWDL

Head to head

Rennes – Lorient24 January 20260-2
Lorient – Rennes24 August 20254-0
Rennes – Lorient3 March 20241-2
Lorient – Rennes22 October 20232-1
Lorient – Rennes27 January 20232-1
Rennes – Lorient7 August 20220-1