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Ligue 1 · Matchday 12Saturday 28 November · 16:15 · Stade Raymond Kopa
Angers15th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
Lens9th place
ANG 18%X 23%RCL 59%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lens lead by 197 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Lens 1.8 points per game, Angers 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Lens 0.2, Angers -0.4.
  • If Angers score first, they win 47% of the time
  • If Lens score first, they win 82% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals0.9 – 1.8
Over 2.551%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Lens win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
118%5.51X23%4.36259%1.70
Double chance
1X41%2.43X282%1.221277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.551%1.95Under 2.549%2.05BTTS yes51%1.98BTTS no49%2.02

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Angers · Columns: Lens1-1 probability 11.5%

Form

Compare →
AngersWLLDL
LensLWWWL

Head to head

Lens – Angers20 March 20265-1
Angers – Lens30 November 20251-2
Lens – Angers26 January 20251-0
Angers – Lens18 August 20240-1
Lens – Angers18 March 20233-0
Angers – Lens5 November 20221-2