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Ligue 1 · Matchday 12Saturday 28 November · 19:45 · Stade Océane
Le Havre18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Strasbourg12th place
HAC 35%X 27%STR 39%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Strasbourg lead by 134 rating points.
  • If Le Havre score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Strasbourg score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.5
Over 2.557%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Strasbourg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.90X27%3.76239%2.57
Double chance
1X61%1.64X266%1.531273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.32BTTS yes60%1.65BTTS no40%2.53

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Le Havre · Columns: Strasbourg1-1 probability 12.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Le Havre – Strasbourg8 February 20262-1
Strasbourg – Le Havre14 September 20251-0
Strasbourg – Le Havre17 May 20252-3
Le Havre – Strasbourg15 December 20240-3
Le Havre – Strasbourg4 May 20243-1
Strasbourg – Le Havre10 December 20232-1