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Ligue 1 · Matchday 12Friday 27 November · 19:45 · Stade Francis-Le Blé
Brest10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Paris FC4th place
BRE 36%X 28%PFC 36%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Paris FC lead by 61 rating points.
  • If Brest score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Paris FC score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.4
Over 2.553%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Paris FC win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.80X28%3.55236%2.77
Double chance
1X64%1.57X264%1.561272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.553%1.90Under 2.547%2.11BTTS yes57%1.75BTTS no43%2.34

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Brest · Columns: Paris FC1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

Compare →
BrestLWDLW

Head to head

Paris FC – Brest3 May 20264-0
Brest – Paris FC14 September 20251-2