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Ligue 1 · Matchday 12Saturday 28 November · 19:45 · Allianz Riviera
Nice8th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Troyes16th place
NIC 56%X 25%ETG 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Nice lead by 150 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Nice 2.4 points per game, Troyes 0.8.
  • If Nice score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Troyes score first, they win 49% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.9
Over 2.549%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Nice win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.78X25%3.97219%5.38
Double chance
1X81%1.23X244%2.281275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.549%2.02Under 2.551%1.98BTTS yes50%2.00BTTS no50%2.00

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Nice · Columns: Troyes1-1 probability 12.0%

Form

Compare →
NiceWWLWW
TroyesLLLDW

Head to head

Troyes – Nice30 April 20230-1
Nice – Troyes9 October 20223-2
Nice – Troyes24 April 20221-0
Troyes – Nice17 October 20211-0