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Ligue 1 · Matchday 8Sunday 25 October · 16:15 · Stade Raymond Kopa
Angers15th place
Full time0-0Rinvalo's pick: 0-1✕ Missed
Lorient11th place
ANG 32%X 29%LOR 39%

What does the market say?

AngersDrawLorientRinvalo32%29%39%
Market33%29%39%

✓ Agree · both back Lorient

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Lorient 0.1, Angers -0.6.
  • If Angers score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Lorient score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.2
Over 2.541%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Lorient win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
132%3.17X29%3.40239%2.56
Double chance
1X61%1.64X269%1.461271%1.42
Goals
Over 2.541%2.43Under 2.559%1.70BTTS yes48%2.08BTTS no52%1.93

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Angers · Columns: Lorient0-0 probability 10.7% · final score

Form

Compare →
AngersWLLDL
LorientLWWDL

Head to head

Angers – Lorient25 October 20260-0
Lorient – Angers15 February 20262-0
Angers – Lorient26 October 20252-0
Lorient – Angers5 February 20230-0
Angers – Lorient1 January 20231-2
Lorient – Angers16 January 20220-0