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Ligue 1 · Matchday 8Sunday 25 October · 16:15 · Orange Vélodrome
Marseille6th place
Full time4-3Rinvalo's pick: 2-0✓ Result correct
Le Havre18th place
OM 59%X 24%HAC 18%

What does the market say?

MarseilleDrawLe HavreRinvalo59%24%18%
Market60%21%18%

✓ Agree · both back Marseille

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • Marseille lead by 94 rating points.
  • If Marseille score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Le Havre score first, they win 46% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.0
Over 2.554%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-0 is the likeliest score within a Marseille win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
159%1.71X24%4.21218%5.64
Double chance
1X82%1.22X241%2.411276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.554%1.84Under 2.546%2.19BTTS yes53%1.88BTTS no47%2.13

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Marseille · Columns: Le Havre4-3 probability 0.5% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Marseille – Le Havre25 October 20264-3
Le Havre – Marseille10 May 20260-1
Marseille – Le Havre18 October 20256-2
Le Havre – Marseille10 May 20251-3
Marseille – Le Havre5 January 20255-1
Le Havre – Marseille19 May 20241-2