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Ligue 1 · Matchday 8Sunday 25 October · 16:15 · Roazhon Park
Rennes5th place
Full time3-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Result correct
Strasbourg12th place
REN 50%X 25%STR 25%

What does the market say?

RennesDrawStrasbourgRinvalo50%25%25%
Market54%22%24%

✓ Agree · both back Rennes

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Rennes take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Rennes score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Strasbourg score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.4
Over 2.565%
Both teams score65%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Rennes win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
150%2.01X25%3.94225%4.03
Double chance
1X75%1.33X250%1.991275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.565%1.54Under 2.535%2.85BTTS yes65%1.54BTTS no35%2.85

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rennes · Columns: Strasbourg3-0 probability 4.5% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Rennes – Strasbourg25 October 20263-0
Strasbourg – Rennes19 April 20260-3
Rennes – Strasbourg2 November 20254-1
Rennes – Strasbourg2 February 20251-0
Strasbourg – Rennes25 August 20243-1
Strasbourg – Rennes31 March 20242-0