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Ligue 1 · Matchday 8Sunday 25 October · 16:15 · Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
Auxerre13th place
Full time1-1Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✕ Missed
Le Mans17th place
AUX 44%X 27%LMS 29%

What does the market say?

AuxerreDrawLe MansRinvalo44%27%29%
Market45%26%29%

✓ Agree · both back Auxerre

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
  • If Auxerre score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Le Mans score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.3
Over 2.557%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Auxerre win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.27X27%3.72229%3.43
Double chance
1X71%1.41X256%1.791273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.31BTTS yes60%1.67BTTS no40%2.48

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Auxerre · Columns: Le Mans1-1 probability 12.0% · final score

Form

Compare →
AuxerreWLWDL
Le MansWLLDL

Head to head

Auxerre – Le Mans25 October 20261-1